
By Pero Mićić (auth.)
This is an inspiring, and functional booklet approximately seeing extra of the long run markets than the rivals. it's the first entire version for examining and handling the longer term systematically and successfully. The 5 futures glasses and the 'Eltville version' are easy, yet thorough instruments to enhance considering and speaking in regards to the future.
Read or Download The Five Futures Glasses: How to See and Understand More of the Future with the Eltville Model PDF
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Additional resources for The Five Futures Glasses: How to See and Understand More of the Future with the Eltville Model
Example text
This is too costly and also leads directly to increased comparability with the competition, since strategies that are suitable for all scenarios tend to be very similar to each other. This in turn would minimize differentiation between competitors and thus minimize operating margins. Decision-makers need assumptions about the future, with given expectation probabilities, as well as inspiration and decision-making tools to be able to perceive future opportunities and develop visions. After all, you need to find good ways of actually implementing the goals and strategies based on them.
How desirable are futures? 17 Many know exactly what they want with regard to health, a partner, wealth and so on. 18 Possible directions of professional development or even just the options for the next vacation are prioritized in this way. And those who have difficulty in prioritizing their desired futures, at least know what they don’t want. 19 However, we see a significant semantic and ontological difference between the desired future and the optimistic attitude towards the future. The optimistic attitude sees “the future” more as a whole, whereas the “desired future” relates more to the future concerned with the person who desires it.
Hence, some methods are overused and misused for purposes that they were not aimed for. Limitations of classic scenarios ■■ The classic scenario method does not cover many of the requirements for practice. ■■ As scenarios are considered to be state of the art, the result is often disappointed expectations. 16 The Five Futures Glasses Goals confusion At the core of futures confusion lie the dilemmas and irrationalities that people display when looking into the future. Forecast versus creation Many people express two wishes in the same breath.