By Lindert P.H.
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Additional resources for Growing public, vol. 2 Further evidence
4. Two Fingerprints of Elite Bias in Asian Education Policy in the Mid-1980s Fingerprint 1 (Below-Average Values Suggest Elitist Bias) Public Primary Expenditures per Child of Primary-School Age as a % of GDP/Capita Mid-1980s Fingerprint 2 (Above-Average Values Suggest Elite Bias) Public Tertiary-Education Expenditures per Pupil/Public Pre-Prim. + Primary Expend. 0 Bangladesh China India Indonesia Korea, Repub. 5.
With each four-year period closer to statistical independence than each year, it is plausible (and conﬁrmed by the tests that follow) that conventional time-series adjustments can handle the remaining serial correlation. 22 Growing Public the simultaneous system linking social spending and growth Deciding what could have caused the rise of social transfers, and what could have made it so much greater in some countries than in others, calls for an examination of many forces at once. We need to give as many leading suspects as possible their day in court.
Summary of predictions Once one takes the right cues from history, it turns out that several predictions about social spending and economic growth follow from the smallest of models. 3 illustrates some of the main ones surveyed here, with reminders about where they appeared in the empirical chapters. The framework that produced these predictions has cost us very little. Granted, it had to set aside the complexity of the political process. Yet the model required very little in the way of assumptions.